National GOP Primary - Opinion Polls

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Opinion Polling for the National GOP Primary Elections to elect the Republican party nominee for the US Presidential Election 2012.

CBS News Polls - October 4, 2011

Sample Size: 1,012 Republican primary nationwide
Dates administered: September 28 - October 2, 2011
Survey type: Telephonic interviews. 903 interviews conducted with registered voters and 304 with voters who plan to vote in Republican primary

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 17%
Herman Cain 17%
Rick Perry 12%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Ron Paul 7%
Michele Bachmann 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Undecided / Don't Know 18%

Source: CBS News

Pew Research - July 28, 2011

Sample Size: 1,501 adults and 1,205 registered voters
Dates administered: July 20-24, 2011.

All Republicans/Lean R Tea Party Not Tea Party
Mitt Romney 21% 16% 25%
Rick Perry 12% 16% 8%
Sarah Palin 11% 12% 10%
Michele Bachmann 11% 14% 8%
Ron Paul 9% 9% 8%
Herman Cain 8% 12% 5%
Newt Gingrich 3% 2% 4%
Tim Pawlenty 3% 2% 3%
Jon Huntsman 2% 2% 2%
Rick Santorum 1% 2% *
Other 1% 1% 1%
None/DK/Too early 20% 12% 25%

Source: Pew Research

Public Policy Polling - New Jersey - July 28, 2011

Sample Size: 300 usual New Jersey Republican primary voters
Dates administered: July 15 - 18, 2011.
Margin of Error: ±5.7%
Survey type: Automated telephone interviews

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 22%
Michele Bachmann 21%
Ron Paul 11%
Rick Perry 10%
Herman Cain 8%
Newt Gingrich 7%
Tim Pawlenty 5%
Jon Huntsman 3%
  • Romney leads 34-16 among moderates
  • Bachmann leads 21-19 among some what conservatives
  • Bachmann leads 26-18 among very conservatives

With Chris Christie in the race

Candidate Support
Chris Christie 38%
Mitt Romney 13%
Michele Bachmann 12%
Ron Paul 9%
Rick Perry 8%
Herman Cain 5%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Tim Pawlenty 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%

Public Policy Polling - North Carolina - July 28, 2011

Sample Size: 400 usual North Carolina Republican primary voters
Dates administered: July 7 - 10, 2011.
Margin of Error: ±4.9%
Survey type: Automated telephone interviews

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 18%
Michele Bachmann 17%
Rick Perry 14%
Sarah Palin 12%
Herman Cain 8%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Ron Paul 7%
Tim Pawlenty 4%
Jon Huntsman 1%

Without Sarah Palin in race

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 23%
Michele Bachmann 22%
Rick Perry 14%
Herman Cain 9%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Ron Paul 6%
Tim Pawlenty 5%
Jon Huntsman 2%
  • Bachmann holds a 26-17 edge over Romney with very conservative voters
  • Romney has a 30-18 lead over Bachmann among somewhat conservative overs.

Gallup - Columbia - July 27, 2011

Sample Size: 1,088 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia
Dates administered: July 20 - 24, 2011.
Margin of Error: ±4%
Survey type: Telephone interviews

Candidate Full list Announced candidates
Mitt Romney 17% 27%
Rick Perry 15% --
Sarah Palin 12% --
Rudy Giuliani 11% --
Michele Bachmann 11% 18%
Ron Paul 8% 11%
Herman Cain 3% 5%
Newt Gingrich 3% 7%
Tim Pawlenty 2% 4%
Jon Huntsman 2% 2%
Rick Santorum 2% 3%
Other 1% 2%
None/Any/No opinion 14% 21%

Support for 2012 Presidential Candidates, With Perry, Giuliani, or Palin in the race

Candidate With Perry only With Palin only With Giuliani only
Mitt Romney 23% 23% 23%
Rick Perry 18% -- --
Sarah Palin -- 15% --
Rudy Giuliani -- -- 14%
Michele Bachmann 13% 16% 17%
Ron Paul 10% 9% 9%
Herman Cain 4% 5% 5%
Newt Gingrich 6% 5% 6%
Tim Pawlenty 3% 4% 3%
Jon Huntsman 2% 2% 2%
Rick Santorum 2% 3% 2%
Other 2% 2% 2%
None/Any/No opinion 18% 16% 16%

Source: Gallup Poll

American Research Group - Florida - July 25, 2011

Sample Size: 600 likely 2012 Florida Republican presidential primary voters
Dates administered: July 18 - 24, 2011.
Margin of Error: ±4%
Survey type: Telephone

Candidate Support
Rick Perry 16%
Michele Bachmann 15%
Mitt Romney 15%
Sarah Palin 15%
Herman Cain 11%
Newt Gingrich 3%
Tim Pawlenty 1%
Rick Santorum 1%

CNN/ORC poll - July 22, 2011

Sample Size: 1009 adults
Dates administered: July 18 - 20, 2011.
Margin of Error: ±3%
Administered by: ORC International
Survey type: Telephone

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 16%
Rick Perry 14%
Rudy Giuliani 13%
Sarah Palin 13%
Michele Bachmann 12%
Ron Paul 8%
Herman Cain 6%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Gary Johnson *
Thad McCotter *
Someone else (vol.) 1%
None/No one (vol.) 8%
No opinion 1%

Horse race without Rick Perry or Thad McCotter

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 17%
Michele Bachmann 15%
Sarah Palin 15%
Rudy Giuliani 14%
Ron Paul 9%
Herman Cain 8%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Tim Pawlenty 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Gary Johnson 1%
Someone else (vol.) 1%
None/No one (vol.) 8%
No opinion 2%

When asked if the respondent would like to see the following people run for the Republican nomination for President

Candidate Would like to see run Would not like to see run No opinion
Rudy Giuliani 54% 44% 1%
Sarah Palin 55% 45% 1%
Rick Perry 50% 33% 17%

Source: CNN/ORC Poll

ABC News/Wash Post poll - July 17, 2011

Sample Size: 1001 adults
Dates administered: July 14 - 17, 2011.
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Survey type: Telephone

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 26%
Sarah Palin 16%
Michele Bachmann 13%
Rick Perry 8%
Ron Paul 7%
Herman Cain 7%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Tim Pawlenty 2%
Rick Santorum 2%

Source: ABC News/Wash Post poll

NBC/Wall Street Journal poll - July 19, 2011

Sample Size: 1000 adults
Dates administered: July 14 - 17, 2011.
Margin of Error: ±3.1%
Survey type: Telephone

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 30%
Michele Bachmann 16%
Rick Perry 11%
Ron Paul 9%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Herman Cain 5%
Rick Santorum 3%
Tim Pawlenty 2%
Jon Huntsman 2%

Source: NBC/WSJ poll


Public Policy Polling - July 19, 2011

Michele Bachmann takes lead on the GOP primaries for the first time by a slight margin. She leads the table with 21% support. Mitt Romney is second with 20%.

Sample Size: 730 Republican primary voter
Dates administered: July 15 - 17, 2011.
Margin of Error: ± 3.6%
Survey type: Automated telephone interviews

Candidate Support
Michele Bachmann 21%
Mitt Romney 20%
Rick Perry 12%
Herman Cain 11%
Ron Paul 9%
Newt Gingrich 7%
Tim Pawlenty 5%
Jon Huntsman 3%

Source: Public Policy Polling

American Research Group - July 18, 2011

Sample Size: 600 likely South Carolina GOP presidential primary voters
Dates administered: July 12 - 17, 2011.
Margin of Error: ± 4%
Survey type: Telephone

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 25%
Sarah Palin 16%
Michele Bachmann 13%
Herman Cain 10%

American Research Group - July 14, 2011

Sample Size: 600 likely New Hampshire GOP primary voters
Dates administered: July 9 - 13, 2011.
Margin of Error: ± 4%

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 29%
Michele Bachmann 12%
Rudy Giuliani 9%
Sarah Palin 8%
Newt Gingrich 7%
Tim Pawlenty 5%

Mason-Dixon Polling and Research - July 13, 2011

Sample Size: 629 likely Iowa voters
Dates administered: July 5 - 7, 2011.
Margin of Error: ± 3.9%

Candidate Support
Michele Bachmann 32%
Mitt Romney 29%
Tim Pawlenty 7%
Rick Santorum 6%
Ron Paul 3%
Newt Gingrich 2%
Herman Cain 1%
Jon Huntsman 0%
Gary Johnson 0%


Quinnipiac University National Poll - July 13, 2011

Sample Size: 2311 registered voters
Dates administered: July 5 - 11, 2011.
Margin of Error: ± 2.0%
Survey type: Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones

Candidate Support
Mitt Romney 25%
Michele Bachmann 14%
Sarah Palin 12%
Rick Perry 10%

TheIowaRepublican.com - July 10, 2011

Sample Size: 500 likely caucus goers in Iowa
Dates administered: June 26 - June 30, 2011.
Margin of Error: ± 4.4%
Survey type: Telephone interviews

Candidate Support Favorable Unfavorable Spread
Michele Bachmann 25% 76 11 +65
Mitt Romney 21% 66 25 +41
Tim Pawlenty 9% 60 12 +48
Herman Cain 9% 54 12 +42
Ron Paul 6% 49 37 12
Newt Gingrich 4% 38 -14
Rick Santorum 2% 45 13 +32
Jon Huntsman 1% 14 26 -12
Candidate Entire Sample Among most attentive voters
Michele Bachmann 25% 32%
Mitt Romney 21% 18%
Tim Pawlenty 9% 8%
Herman Cain 9% 12%
Ron Paul 6% 5%
Newt Gingrich 4% 4%
Rick Santorum 2% 2%
Jon Huntsman 1% 2%

Poll by: TheIowaRepublican.com and The Iowa Republican magazine

Public Policy Polling - July 6, 2011

Sample Size: 341 New Hampshire Republican Primary Voters.
Dates administered: June 30 - July 5, 2011.
Margin of Error: ± 3.5%
Survey type: Automated telephonic interviews

Candidate Rating
Mitt Romney 25%
Michele Bachmann 18%
Sarah Palin 11%
Ron Paul 9%
Herman Cain 7%
Rick Perry 7%
Jon Huntsman 6%
Tim Pawlenty 6%
Newt Gingrich 4%

Without Sarah Palin in race

Candidate Rating
Mitt Romney 28%
Michele Bachmann 21%
Rick Perry 9%
Ron Paul 9%
Herman Cain 7%
Jon Huntsman 7%
Tim Pawlenty 6%
Newt Gingrich 4%

If Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rudy Giuliani, and Paul Ryan were to enter the race

Candidate Rating
Mitt Romney 26%
Chris Christie 20%
Michele Bachmann 14%
Rudy Giuliani 9%
Sarah Palin 8%
Jeb Bush 8%
Tim Pawlenty 5%
Paul Ryan 3%

Poll by: Public Policy Polling

Granite State Poll sponsored by WMUR-TV - July 5, 2011

Sample Size: 357 likely Republican primary voters (among New Hampshire adults)
Survey method: Interviewed by Telephone
Dates administered: June 21 - July 1, 2011
Margin of error: plus or minus 5.2%
Conducted by: University of New Hampshire Survey Center

Candidate Percentage
Mitt Romney 35%
Michele Bachmann 12%
Ron Paul 7%
Rudy Giuliani 7%
Rick Perry 4%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Sarah Palin 3%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Herman Cain 2%
Newt Gingrich 1%
Gary Johnson <1%
Rick Santorum <1%
Buddy Roemer <1%

Poll by: Granite State Poll

Fox News - June 29, 2011

Sample Size: 912 registered voters
Survey method: Live telephonic interviews
Dates administered: June 26-28, 2011
Margin of error: plus or minus 3%

Candidate First Choice Second Choice
Mitt Romney 18% 18%
Rick Perry 13 5
Michele Bachmann 11 17
Rudy Giuliani 10 9
Sarah Palin 8 10
Ron Paul 7 4
Herman Cain 5 6
Tim Pawlenty 3 2
Newt Gingrich 3 6
Jon Huntsman 3 2
Rick Santorum 2 2
Gary Johnson 1 -
Fred Karger - -
Thaddeus McCotter - -
Roy Moore - 1
Buddy Roemer - -
(Chris Christie - vol.) 1 -
(Donald Trump - vol.) 1 -
(Mike Huckabee - vol.) 1 2
(Jeb Bush - vol.) 1 -
(Someone else) 1 2
(Too soon to say) 6 -
(Don't know) 4 13

GOP Nominee Preference without Sarah Palin

Candidate Rating
Mitt Romney 20%
Rick Perry 14%
Michele Bachmann 12%
Rudy Giuliani 11%
Ron Paul 7%
Herman Cain 5%
Newt Gingrich 3%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
Gary Johnson 1%
Fred Karger -
Thaddeus McCotter -
Roy Moore -
Buddy Roemer -
(Chris Christie - vol.) 1%
(Mike Huckabee - vol.) 1%
(Donald Trump - vol.) 1%
(Jeb Bush - vol.) 1%
(Someone else) 2%
(Too soon to say) 6%
(Don't know) 6%

GOP Nominee Preference without Rudy Giuliani

Candidate Rating
Mitt Romney 22%
Rick Perry 14%
Michele Bachmann 13%
Sarah Palin 9%
Ron Paul 7%
Herman Cain 5%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Rick Santorum 3%
Gary Johnson 1%
Roy Moore 1%
Fred Karger -
Thaddeus McCotter -
Buddy Roemer -
(Chris Christie - vol.) 1%
(Mike Huckabee - vol.) 1%
(Donald Trump - vol.) 1%
(Jeb Bush - vol.) 1%
(Someone else) 1%
(Too soon to say) 6%
(Don't know) 5%

Poll by: Fox News

Gallup - May 26, 2011

Sample Size: 971 Republicans and GOP-leaning independents.
Dates administered: May 20 - May 24, 2011.

Candidate Rating
Undecided 22%
Mitt Romney 17%
Sarah Palin 15%
Ron Paul 10%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Herman Cain 8%
Tim Pawlenty 6%
Michele Bachmann 5%
None of the above 3%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Gary Johnson 2%
Rick Santorum 2%

Poll by: Gallup

Public Policy Polling - May 10, 2011

Sample Size: 610 Republican primary voters.
Dates administered: May 5 - May 8, 2011.

Candidate Rating
Mike Huckabee 19%
Mitt Romney 18%
Newt Gingrich 13%
Sarah Palin 12%
Undecided 11%
Donald Trump 8%
Ron Paul 8%
Michele Bachmann 7%
Tim Pawlenty 5%

Poll by: Public Policy Polling

Gallup - April 22, 2011

Sample Size: 1047 Republican and GOP leaning independents.
Dates administered: April 15 - April 20, 2011.

Candidate Rating
Donald Trump 16%
Mike Huckabee 16%
Undecided 14%
Mitt Romney 13%
Sarah Palin 10%
Newt Gingrich 6%
Ron Paul 6%
Michele Bachmann 4%
Mitch Daniels 3%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Haley Barbour 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%
None of the above 1%
Gary Johnson 0%

Poll by: Gallup

McClatchy-Marist - April 20, 2011

Sample Size: 468 Republicans and GOP-leaning independents.
Dates administered: April 10 - April 14, 2011.

Candidate Rating
Mitt Romney 18%
Mike Huckabee 17%
Donald Trump 13%
Undecided 11%
Rudy Giuliani 9%
Sarah Palin 8%
Ron Paul 7%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Herman Cain 2%
Mitch Daniels 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Tim Pawlenty 2%
Haley Barbour 1%
Jon Huntsman 1%

Poll by: McClatchy-Marist

See Also